- Since Venezuela chooses government through election, why not vote down Maduro next time, but stage a coup? Guaido is obviously violating Venezuelan constitution.
- This year marks the centenary of May 4th Movement. The Chinese have remembered it as a movement promoting patriotism, democracy and science, not so much as student protests. China has drawn positive energy from the movement.
- If under the US's pressure, the UK withdraws its previous decision of allowing Huawei to help build noncore 5G infrastructure, that would be interesting. Does it mean the UK is even less independent than its former colony India?
- This is inappropriate indeed. The US side didn't pay enough attention to details in hosting Abe. Abe had to be 'magnanimous'. This photo reflects the reality of unequal US-Japan relations.
- His cognition of China is below the common sense. Trump administration is pervasive with this kind of anti-common sense radical thoughts. How could Wray be the head of FBI? He is suitable to work on ideology. Or FBI is an ideological tool anyway?
- Beijing said Belt and Road will follow global norms and stressed the initiative must be green and clean. These can be seen as constructive response to international criticism. The Chinese have big heart, which determines that the Belt and Road will have a bright future.
- China will never join this arms control agreement. Beijing won't be hoaxed by Washington's sweet words nor be intimidated by its threat. President Trump believes in his art of the deal too much, but he hasn't even fixed Pyongyang.
- Trust is difficult to be built from scratch between the US and NK. It needs effective help from int’l community where China and Russia can be of help. China, Russia strengthening communication with NK is good to protect current peaceful situation and promote negotiation process.
- UK’s decision has broken the ban that Five Eyes countries have on Huawei to participate in their 5G network construction. Although UK said Huawei can only help build noncore infrastructure, but this concept can be modified. UK’s decision will set off chain reactions in Europe.
- Chinese Marvel fans waited in long line for the opening of Avengers: Endgame. By Tuesday morning, presales in China was close to $100 million. Film fans of China and the US seem to the most integrated groups between the two countries.
- Major countries that have territorial disputes with China sent warships to participate in the celebration, so did US’s main allies in the Asia-Pacific. This reflects China and neighboring countries are getting smarter, with more willingness and capacity to manage divergences.
- The US threatens so many countries in order to sanction Iran. This is self-isolation of a powerful country. In other words, when the US forces Iran to be more isolated, it will make itself the same isolated. The US will pay the price for it sooner or later.
- Huawei’s Q1 performance shows its growth cannot be suppressed by the US. Washington’s crackdown has stimulated the company to work even harder. US companies will find it more difficult to compete with Huawei. Trump administration’s plan has gone by contraries.
- Most likely the blasts were carried by religious zealots connected to ISIS. Unfortunately terror attacks under religious retaliation will be on the rise. Shooting massacre against Muslims in New Zealand has caused huge shocks worldwide. It has led a bad example.
- Most of the top students of China's top universities go to the US for further education after graduation. Many of them would work in the US later. Now the US is increasingly rejecting them. I think it's not necessarily a bad thing for China. China can just leave it as it is.
- Obstruction of Belt and Road didn't work. B&R will profoundly influence the implementation of international cooperation, forming standard of cooperation based on win-win mutual benefit. West-led unfair cooperation model faces huge pressure.
- China declined to issue a visa to Michael Pillsbury. Many people linked it to a large number of Chinese scholars whose US’ visas were canceled. It is logic to observe it this way. Personally, I also believe there will be other American scholars who could be denied Chinese visa.
- If the race is Terry Gou v.s Tsai Ing-wen, the latter will have a high probability to lose. But Chinese mainland shouldn’t pin hopes on Taiwan election to wipe out Taiwan independence risk. Mainland’s increasing military and economic deterrent is foundation of cross-Strait peace.
- Top diplomats are usually doves, but Pompeo's harsh pressure on China makes him nearly No.1 hawk in the current US administration. He may haven't switched from the role of CIA director, and is even more hawkish than he was then. US's China policy is having systemic confusion.
- Swiss is about to sign the Belt and Road deal. Italy, Luxembourg have already joined it. If I were @SecPompeo, I would resign as Secretary of State for the accusations listed by the State Department on Belt and Road can't even convince European countries. Fail to do his job.
- Barring these scholars from visiting the US is another evidence of declining US’ self-confidence. 美国（USA in Chinese）literally means ‘a beautiful country.” But the US has become uglier, suspicious, sensitive and unreasonable in recent years.
- President Trump wants to solve NK nuclear issue once and for all. If he can make it, S. Koreans and Chinese will all be happy about it. But we know it is unrealistic. The US needs to do more in lifting sanctions in exchange for NK to move forward in the path of denuclearization.
- Latin America is US' backyard but poor. The US is building the wall to avoid being taken advantage by Latin America, but it is telling Latin Americans to stay away from China's investment. Isn't Pompeo ashamed? Latin America knows China and doesn't need Pompeo to teach them.
- China's 4G network base stations are already much more than the US's, enabling more active applications, such as mobile payments and e-business. All of this is driven by China's large number of internet users. China will maintain these advantages in 5G era.
- China is pragmatic, focusing on win-win development, not geopolitical stuff. That's why China has attractions. The West is too old, China is young and unconventional.
- Though Doklam crisis happened, Chinese didn't think Modi was the primary planner behind this offensive. I think Modi is generally a rational leader. He didn't confront China as expected by the US. I believe no matter who wins the election, the current China policy will continue.
- Both Assange and Liu Xiaobo defied. Liu was awarded Nobel Peace Prize by the West, Assange was jointly hunted by Western countries. If Assange targeted China, Russia or Iran, he wouldn't have ended up this way. He chose the wrong target.
- Western media interpreted China-EU joint statement as a result of China bowing to EU demands. Public opinion in the West seemingly likes to say "China making concession.” OK, after China and the US sign a trade deal, we don’t mind US media also claiming “China making concession”.
- China and the EU just released a joint statement, covering major issues such as non-discriminatory market access, IP protection and 5G network. Meanwhile Trump announced to impose tariffs on $11 billion EU goods. It seems fighting relative is not as good as harmonious friend.
- In doing so, Iran made the US' previous decision look absurd. Washington hurt its own soft power, making people believe even more that the US is labeling according to its interests, rather than making fair and objective judgment.
- India’s refusal to attend won’t prevent Belt and Road forum from succeeding. Indian people, as a whole, have a fragile and capricious mentality. Dalai group which opposes Beijing is based in India. If Beijing is as impulsive as New Delhi, what will happen between China and India?
- Libya has become one of the biggest failures since the Arab Spring. Now to the West, Libya has neither an ideological enemy nor geopolitical significance. The West has no particular interest in it. Libya is widely seen among Chinese as a tragic example of “democratic revolution”.
- The US now has collective paranoia that it is replete with the most advanced things in the world and all of them are under the risk of being stolen by China. Such a narcissistic mindset and contempt for the outside world may become a factor hindering the US from moving forward.
- President Trump's Israel policy is too aggressive, which emboldens Israel to adopt riskier policy. If Middle East affairs follow this kind of line, it will be hard for the US and Israel to avoid paying price in the long run. They should keep a clear mind and exercise restraints.
- Can China and the US reach a trade deal in four weeks? The two societies are hopeful of it. Beijing and Washington can't retreat, especially Washington, because no deal means huge political price. Main parts of the trade deal have been reached, the remaining work is packaging.
- Is it a big issue? It's still under investigation but Pompeo linked it to China threat. Is this how a top diplomat of the super power of the US supposed to behave? US Secretary of State shouldn't turn himself to a talkshow star.
- The Philippines has put on a series of show regarding Zhongye Island in the past few days. Philippine political system creates such a nationalist game from time to time. It's ridiculous.
- The more trade talks stretch to the final stage, the fiercer psychological contention becomes. At the beginning, US side held psychological advantage, now it is reversed. China pulled through the toughest time in the past year, proving the US can only exert limited harm on China.
- Based on information I received plus my understanding, China-US trade talks are like a fruit that is almost grown, but it remains uncertain when the fruit will fall. As negotiations have reached current stage, the remaining problems can be serious, or not problems at all.
2019年5月1日星期三
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