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2022年10月28日星期五
习近平让中国陷入毛泽东主义的混乱 观点GORDON G. CHANG ,作者,评论员
美国东部时间 22 年 10 月 27 日上午 6:30
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观点中国中共习近平
周六,全世界见证了中华人民共和国可怕的清洗历史上最不寻常的事件之一。统治者习近平让他的前任胡锦涛从北京举行的第 20 次全国代表大会上退场。强行拆除的时机是为了获得最大的宣传。
正如渥太华麦克唐纳-劳里埃研究所的查尔斯·伯顿告诉新闻周刊的那样,这一大胆的举动是“残酷而令人不寒而栗的” ,但正如许多人所说,这并不是实力的展示。相反,胡锦涛的下台暴露了习近平的不安全感,看起来像是软弱的表现。
到周六,即代表大会的最后一天,很明显,习近平已经完全掌握了党的主导地位。His adversaries, like Premier Li Keqiang, had not been elected to the Central Committee and were thus not eligible to remain in high office.
周六,习近平还知道,在第二天的二十届一中全会上,他将打破先例,担任共产党总书记的第三个任期,他的忠实拥护者将占据政治局常委剩余的六个席位,中国最高决策机构。
最好的新闻周刊通过电子邮件
他对党的控制几乎是完全的。然而,在国际媒体获准参加会议后,习近平选择用强行驱逐胡锦涛来羞辱胡锦涛——至少是由习近平的一名保镖——大概是为了目睹这一事件。
为什么习这个中国政治大师,会做出看似完全没有必要的无端行为?最好的猜测是,习近平很可能担心——这是正确的——胡和胡在党内的共青团剩余部分可能成为对他的政策越来越不满的集结点。
毕竟,习近平的意识形态国内政策正在导致同时发生的灾难。中国现在正受到债务危机、房地产价格暴跌、经济低迷、货币贬值、粮食短缺加剧、环境恶化和疾病迅速蔓延的困扰。在很大程度上由于国民大会和一中全会的事件,资金正在逃离该国。
与此同时,习近平好战的对外政策导致世界各地失去支持。
新闻周刊订阅优惠 >
因此,从治理的角度来看,对于“无所不能”的习近平来说,一切都不顺利。难怪他无疑相信他不仅要控制对手,还要确保他们永远不会重新出现。
最终,糟糕的政策赶上了习近平等领导人。这意味着 SOAS 中国研究院的 Steve Tsang 只是部分正确。“未来对习近平来说是光明的,对其他人来说是黑暗的,”这位备受推崇的英国学者今年秋天对《时代》杂志说,表达了一种普遍的看法。
中国国家主席习近平(左下),栗战书和王沪宁(右),前国家主席胡锦涛(中)在中国共产党第 20 次全国代表大会闭幕式上被帮助提早离开。 2022年10月22日在中国北京举行的人民大会堂。凯文弗雷尔/盖蒂图片社曾荫权只是在短期内是正确的,因为中国最高领导人将为他对胡的大胆对待付出高昂的代价。曾在北京担任加拿大高级外交官的伯顿说:“习近平无视中国根深蒂固的尊重老年人的文化规范,这是在玩一场危险的游戏。” “在古代,让一个战败王朝的皇帝有尊严地活下去,书写了他的祖宗统治历史。通过颠覆中国孝道的规范,习先生可能走得太远了。”
强人总是越界。不幸的是,强人是共产党恶性制度中固有的。
中华人民共和国的缔造者毛泽东把本来应该是委员会管理的政权变成了一个人管理的政权。随后,毛泽东几乎用大跃进和文化大革命等轻率的运动摧毁了共产党。
毛的继任者邓小平通过制定规范、指导方针、理解和规则来规范政治。外国观察家对他们所谓的“精英”制度的兴起滔滔不绝。尤其是在本世纪头十年,中国观察家,甚至是政权批评者,都对共产党的转变——制度化——感到惊叹,称它解决了继承问题,这是所有强硬制度的一个弱点。
But Xi Jinping, in a Mao-like grab for power, has reversed the transformation, deinstitutionalizing the Party by seizing power from everyone else and then ignoring every norm, guideline, understanding, and rule.
Mao has been called an aberration, but he was not. China has been ruled by strongmen at both the beginning of the Chinese Communist period and now.
And the People's Republic has been ruled by a strongman during its middle period, too. The Party institutionalized politics because a strongman, Deng, demanded it. He along with elders picked Deng's successor, Jiang Zemin, and Jiang's successor, the now-disappeared Hu Jintao. In short, all the progress and all the reversal of progress in Communist China have been the result of strongmen exerting their will.
The Chinese Communist Party is not capable of reform. One-man rule is inherent in a system that idealizes struggle and dominance.
Xi Jinping is known for his "you-die-I-live" mentality. Today, it is Hu Jintao who has been removed. Next time, it could be Xi who is the one led away. Chinese Communist Party politics, it appears, have not really changed since the Maoist days.
Gordon G. Chang is the author of The Coming Collapse of China. Follow him on Twitter: @GordonGChang.
The views expressed in this article are the writer's own.
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White Boy Tears
21h ago
Gordie Chang, aka the Chinese Candice Owens, is trying to spin a non-story into something more. Instead of reading Gordie's spin, just go and watch the extended CNA footage on YouTube and decide for yourself. To me, it's kinda obvious in ...See more
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IslaVista UCSB
11h ago
China is laughing at the idea of affirmative action, CRT, or diversity and inclusion.They don’t let low-IQ people immigrate: It isn’t trying to turn low IQ Somalis, Haitians, Salvadorans, Mexicans, Guatemalans, and Hondurans into anesthesiologists.
All the billions and all the incredible moral energy we waste on racial wild goose chases, the Chinese have used to build their country.
It’s not spending billions on “diversity.”
They have a simple goal: Build the best and toughest army in the world. We’re turning out social workers who carry rifles
China doesn’t have a lot of blacks and Hispanics. It doesn’t have race riots.
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Military mama
20h ago
This author is uniquely qualified. I learn something everytime I listen to him.
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MM
Military mama
20h ago
Chubby little cubby all stuffed with fluff
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DefyIt
12h ago
I'm sure glad Xi has declared to the world's leaders that Americans have degenerated into gangsters. The Real Global Community appreciates the truth about America and its degenerate NATO thug allies.
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